Blog 1.4

1. What has changed since Clinton's high point in Mid-August?

2. Looking at the graph, when was the largest lead for Clinton over Trump in the polls?

3.  About how big is the gap between the candidates now?

4. What arguments can Clinton's opponents make because of her new health issues?

5. Which swing states are mentioned and how does Clinton fare in those places?

6. What 3 reasons does the author give for the recent tightening in the polls?

7. What specific changes has the Trump campaign made since mid August?

8. How has the Trump campaign changed its spending habits?

9. What did the Clinton campaign change up in August?

10. How does Vox author Jeff Stein account for some changes in the polls?

Answers:

1. The Presidential Election has grown closer, yet Clinton still leads.

2. Around August 9th, Clinton had what looks to be an 8% lead on Trump.

3. The gap currently is at 3%.

4. Because Clinton waited to report her illness, one could argue that it is another example of her lying.

5a. In Virginia, she leads by six points.

5b. Wisconsin: 5 pts

5c. New Hampshire: 5 pts.

5d. Pennsylvania: 6 pts.

5e. Florida: Tied

6a. "Trump has (relatively) cleaned up his act."

6b. "Lots of negative stories for Clinton have been in the news even before this weekend." 

6c. "Clinton had a weekend from hell." 

7. "Trump has made major changes to his campaign team and press strategy..."

8. He’s started actually spending money on TV ads..."

9. "Clinton kept a relatively light campaign schedule in August so she could focus on fundraising instead."

10. "It’s possible that this sudden swing in the polls is affected somewhat by differential non-response rates... That is to say, the news of Clinton’s illness may have made her supporters less enthusiastic about even answering polls, so they’d naturally show up less often in the results even after demographic weighting."